The team has pieces that will help it win games, with Frankie Montas at the front of that rotation and top prospect Cristian Pache immediately slotting into the outfield with Ramon Laureano. For anyone followingthe Reds, this has been a puzzling offseason. Robbie Ray, the AL Cy Young winner, is also gone. For now, well be focused on development for the young pitchers and the eventual debuts of Spencer Torkelson and Riley Greene. Fun fact: He finished the 2016, 2018, 2019 and 2021 seasons with a combined batting average in the .290s, so maybe it wasn't surprising that he finished his first MLB season 91 games for the . Unfortunately, the starting rotation and lineup arent remotely good enough to even challenge for 72 wins. For all the talk of Bichette and Guerrero Jr. being a dynamic infield presence, Xander Bogaerts and Rafael Devers also are a dangerous pair of bats from the left side of the infield. It was only the Cubs in 2016 and Cardinals in 2015, but the point stands. They have the best hitter of this generation in Mike Trout and the most talented player of all time in Shohei Ohtani, yet they continue to finish below .500. MLB games today with odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook. Joey Votto continues to produce at a star talent, but heading into his age 38 campaign, the model expects some regression to take a toll. The Philadelphia Phillies committed to spending money this offseason, improving the lineup with Kyle Schwarber and Nick Castellanos. Andrew Benintendi showed some bounceback potential in 2021, and Adalberto Mondesi still looks explosive when healthy. After the NL East race came down to the wire in 2022, with the Braves edging the Mets via tiebreaker after both won 101 games, the two teams had drastically different offseasons. The introduction of the DH to the NL should help Dominic Smith and Robinson Cano produce at a higher rate as well. Perhaps it would be a bit closer if two-time NL MVP Bryce Harper were healthy, but he underwent Tommy John surgery in November and might be out until July. The 2022 MLB season is finally here. If the rookies can play up to their projections and immediately become impact talents, this could be an underrated team in 2022. It might not matter right now, but it will cost them multiple games and potentially a playoff spot. It's Cleveland vs. Minnesota for the AL Central title. The Los Angeles Dodgers might have lost the NL West in 2021, but theres no doubt this is the best team in the division entering the 2022 season. And I'd win the under. Clayton Kershaw has struggled to stay healthy, but has been dominant when on the mound. Were using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. Losing Kevin Gausman (Toronto Blue Jays and Buster Posey (retirement) are two huge blows, leaving voids that cant be filled directly. However, there are reasons for why it turned out as it did. Something is going to give there -- in terms of sending one team down to the mid-80s in wins, this time around -- and the Red Sox total is 85.5. Cody Bellinger returns to All-Star form. (As a reminder, Emmanuel Clase did it in 2022 . Detroit is also expecting rookies Spencer Torkelson and Riley Greene to make the jump to the majors and provide the offense with the jolt it lacked in 2021. The model isn't as bullish on San Diego as others due to concerns over Tatis' ability to play a full season and the depth in the lineup, but it's easy to see this being the magical year for which many have been waiting. Plus, in the NL West, the Dodgers are awesome and the Giants are coming off a 107-win season. 2023 Projected Standings. The Phillies Will Need The Long Ball For A Long Shot World Series Comeback . Considering the Cincinnati Reds are shopping their starting pitchers and trimming payroll, they belong in the ignore tier for the 2022 season. The model doesn't think the signings make Texas a full-fledged contender just yet, but it sees this as a major step in the right direction. The team will also get another look at breakout star Jazz Chisholm in his second year of action. Case in point, Jon Lester had a 4.36 ERA compared to a 5.40 FIP in 12 starts last season after they acquired him and he's now retired. The predicted standings for each team are the average wins and losses in the 20,000 simulations. The NL Central has not had a team repeat as division winner since the Cubs repeated in first place in 2016 and 2017. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. Jose Ramirez can win an MVP, Franmil Reyes is capable of a .800-plus OPS and Myles Straw is an exciting talent. Carter Kieboom has been hyped for some time, and will finally be given a full opportunity once he returns from his forearm injury. They battled through adversity and were able to outlast the Houston Astros en route to a world series trophy. That'll change this year, despite his being projected to hit ten to fifteen fewer homers than that. Marcus Semien might have left in free agency, but Toronto acquired Matt Chapman to man third and give the team a star defender to the left of Bichette. 6-keys: media/spln/mlb/reg/free/stories, at Framber Valdez and Luis Garcia are two bright young arms in the rotation, while Verlander looks to return to his Cy Young-winning ways since coming back from Tommy John surgery. . They added Cy Young winner Robbie Ray and 2021 All-Stars in Adam Frazier and Jesse Winker Nobody really knows what to make of theAngels. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. The NL West was incredibly loaded in 2021, with the Giants finishing with the best record in baseball and the Dodgers owning the second-best record in baseball. Sticky standings Sticky standings. PECOTA, however, sees a sizable gap of roughly five games between them, with the Mets on top. Offensively, there is room for improvement on this team in 2022. But what the model really likes is the rotation. Weak offense. The Sporting News' model sees the Blue Jays as a slim favorite to win the division over the Yankees, Rays and Red Sox, but it expects all four teams to reach the playoffs. Find the Pistons vs Cavaliers odds below. The rotation might be even better in 2022 with the return of Mike Soroka to join Max Fried, Ian Anderson, Charlie Morton and Huascar Ynoa. Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. It's a win-win, really. The bullpen, which was already one of the best last year, improved with the signing of Kenley Jansen to join Will Smith, Tyler Matzek and AJ Minter. Torontos moves this offseason inspire confidence Canada might host a World Series game. O/U wins: 91.5. Sure enough, thats exactly what they did. The model does not expect the Brewers will emerge back on top in 2022. Copyright 2023 Sporting News Holdings Limited. Look, I know they do some sort of sorcery there, but the pitching depth is depleted and that's a rough division. Instead, the model likes the chances ofthe Cardinalsto win the NL Central. If the snake-bitten franchise gets full seasons from Anthony Rendon, Mike Trout, Shohei Ohtani and Noah Syndergaard, its a no-doubt playoff team. But there they are with an 88-74 projection from ZiPS, just three games behind the mighty Dodgers and Padres. The Phillieswere one of several teams competing near the end of the season for a wild card spot before the Cardinals went on their wild winning streak to take away that final spot. Some major changes await the 2022 MLB season. The Marinerswere the feel-good story of 2021, when out of nowhere, they rose up to post a 90-win season and nearly reach the postseason. You famously cannot predict baseball. And I'll mention again that the Blue Jays were a wrecking crew in Rogers Centre after they went 22-22 in "home" games in Buffalo and Dunedin last year. 1. The St. Louis Cardinals strengthened their rotation depth this offseason, signing Steven Matz. But we're making a call to the bullpen and asking five MLB.com writers to give it their best shot. The Raysare that team that is constantly underloved by metrics and subsequently overperforms. since the new labor deal came together on March 10, and his new 11-year, $182 million contract, seemingly have to prove themselves all over again, signing him to a seven-year, $182 million contract, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. MLB playoffs 2023: MLB postseason predictions, World Series and playoffs info, Longest MLB hitting streaks ever: 2022 to baseball history, 5 biggest winners from 2022 MLB offseason, MLB top prospects 2022: Tracking latest stats and potential call-up dates, 3 Chicago White Sox trade targets to replace Lance Lynn, 2022 Boston Red Sox schedule, roster and predictions, MLB MVP race 2023: Evaluating 2023 AL, NL candidates and MVP history, MLB trade rumors Latest MLB rumors entering July, What is the fastest pitch ever? Read on for predictions for every game involving a Top 25 team on the schedule over the next seven days. 400. As part of our year-round MLB coverage, well provide analysis, the latest news and MLB trade rumors. Theres no question the Padres have the talent to win the NL West, even a World Series title is possible. There is potential in this team to over-perform its projections. Bob Melvin is the perfect skipper for the clubhouse, providing both strong in-game management and a leader who can help keep a lot of personalities in sync. Everyone wants to know who will win the World Series, and according to the model, the answer is Dodgers are the most likely champion. Ryan Fagan ( @RyanFagan ) There are question marks all over the place, as I explained in the preview. As much as I love Shane McClanahan, he won't be carrying an ace workload. TeamRankings.com is not affiliated with the National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA) or March Madness Athletic Association, neither of which has supplied, reviewed, approved or endorsed the material on this site. The Mariners may have somethingto say about that, though, making some big moves in hopes of ending baseball's longest postseason drought dating back to 2001. Arizona also has to be relieved the DH is now in the league so it can give young slugger Seth Beer a way to consistently fit in the lineup. The NL Central hasnt had a repeat champion since the Cubs in 2016-17, and PECOTA expects that trend to continue in 2023, giving the Brewers a two-game edge over the Cardinals. New York Mets - 94-68 (101-61 in 2022, 2nd in NLE) It's tough to predict a regression for the Mets, but we truly believe their 2023 campaign will be a bit less successful than their 2022 campaign. Is it as simple as looking at their negative-51 run differential, which carried with it and expected 76-86 record? Instead, their big additions were Mitch Haniger, Michael Conforto, Sean Manaea, Ross Stripling and Taylor Rogers. It will all come down to how many IL stints the Angels stars have in 2022. The rotation lost Robbie Ray but added Kevin Gausman and Yusei Kikuchi. With the exception of a 107-win season from the Giants in 2021, the Dodgers have owned the NL West for the past decade. The Blue Jays will, once again, be one of the best fourth-place finishers since MLB went to the six-division format in 1994. A starting rotation with two Cy Young candidates (Corbin Burnes, Brandon Woodruff), an All-Star No. They'll be one of the best home teams in baseball this year. And the Cardinals were basically a .500 team last season, save for a 17-game winning streak in September. Jose Altuve continues to hit, and the cast around around him continues to get younger. The model likes the Dodgers to win the pennant and finish with the best record in baseball, while the Giants are the second-most likely team to win the pennant, barely edging out the Braves, who are likely to earn the second bye by virtue of winning their division with the second-best record among division winners. Behind the Jays, it could go either way between the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays. The Diamondbacksfinished tied with Baltimore for the worst record in baseball in 2021, but like the Orioles, they are starting to see the future of the franchise. Trevor Story is out, but he had a down year anyway and Kris Bryant is in. But that quickly changed, and the result was a disappointing 77-85 season. But neither system is buying Texas as a contender in 2023. The Post's Joel Sherman predicts the AL Central: 1. I'm going to, once again, hammer the over on the highest total. TeamRankings.com is solely responsible for this site but makes no guarantee about the accuracy or completeness of the information herein. As part of our year-round MLB coverage, we'll provide analysis, the latest news and MLB trade rumors . Support FanGraphs. Bookmark this page for in-season updates to our MLB predictions. We also like the depth pieces added to the staff (Carlos Martinez, Matt Boyd) and it will prove crucial this year. The White Sox and Astros were picked to reach the top two spots in the American League more than any other team, while the top four AL East teams were the most likely in the simulations to also reach the playoffs. Across the division, the Twins had a perplexing winter. MORE:Trading for Matt Chapman a better fit for rising Blue Jays than signing Freddie Freeman. Matt Chapman is one of the best defensive players in the game and his bat should look better with the talent around it. Calling up Gabriel Arias could help with that. The Cleveland Cavaliers (39-26, 26-7 home) return to Ohio on Saturday for an Eastern Conference affair with the lowly Detroit Pistons (15-48, 7-25 away) who are in the gutter of the conference standings. I like mid-90s for Blue Jays wins in 2022, and that gets us home here. The bullpen and rotation are stronger than last season and the lineup will be productive. Wander Franco, Shane Baz and Shane McClanahan are expected to take up major roles on the team in their second seasons with the club, and Randy Arozarena and Brandon Lowe will again be dangerous at the plate. 3. Here are 10 predictions that go against general public sentiment, but I still think have a decent shot at happening. The Sporting News is unveiling a model to project the 2022 MLB season and make predictions based on the results. Despite signing Trea Turnerin free agency, neither ZiPS nor PECOTA views the Phils as a major threat to win this division. 4. Milwaukee had a relatively quiet offseason after finishing seven games behind St. Louis last season, but PECOTA projects the team's vaunted pitching staff to allow . Minnesota traded Josh Donaldson and others to free up room to sign prized free-agent shortstop Carlos Correa. Theyll be better than the Pittsburgh Pirates, but at least we can say we like the outlook for Pittsburghs future. MLB insider Bob Nightengale examines if the fans will forgive league for ugly offseason. Statistical data provided by Gracenote. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: mlb | pageType: stories | Maybe this time I'm right and things have caught up with them. They also made big splashes by signing Rodon, Alex Cobb and Matthew Boyd, who will only make this rotation stronger. The . Drew Rasmussen threw 76 innings last year. The rotation looks well-rounded with three experienced starters at the top in Marcus Stroman, Kyle Hendricks and Wade Miley. The model indicates that in a World Series against the NL, which is loaded with teams that boast top-line pitching staffs, Tampa Bay's staff is more likely to hold up in a series. The NL Central is mediocre, at best, and the Cardinals are a part of the mediocrity. But more than anything, the model is high on the pitching, with Gerrit Cole, Jameson Taillon, Jordan Montgomery and a healthy Luis Severino leading the team in 2022. It also highlights the risk of a starting rotation with so many durability worries. This offseason, they're doing their part to make sure they don't miss the wild card this time. Milwaukee has made the playoffs four years in a row, a streak that should continue as the Cardinals didn't do much to close the gap. Ultimately, this is a total rebuild and the organization isn't thinking about the final MLB standings in 2022. They will join Joe Musgrove, Yu Darvish and Blake Snell. But even with Seager gone, Turner shifted from second to shortstop and Gavin Lux and Chris Taylor will occupy second base. 5 min read. Fastest MLB pitches in 2022, fastest pitch in college, Best batting average of all time: Top MLB hitters by career average, best BA in 2021. The model expects some regression, but the pitching will keep this as one of the best teams in baseball. Things have frantically fallen into place since the new labor deal came together on March 10, with every team trying to jam most of its winter moves into just a few weeks. LAD Los Angeles Dodgers. The return of spring weather brings hope for every team. All Rights Reserved. Here's what experts think. MLB OFFSEASON GRADES:Dodgers, Mets earn high marks; Yankees confuse. Cleveland might be trending the wrong direction compared to most teams, but finishing last still feels like a bit of a stretch. We felt great about New Yorks rotation trio and even liked some of the depth behind it. Fernando Tatis Jr. is one of the brightest stars when he's healthy and Manny Machado gives him powerful protection in the lineup. MLB 2022 win totals: Predicting every team's record for the new season.
Kurt Krauss Grants Pass Obituary,
Best High School Basketball Players In Illinois,
Porque A Los Eduardos Les Dicen Lalo,
How To Start A Teeth Whitening Business From Home,
Articles M