However, the floor is lower than the surrounding running backs in cost. Phil Alexander: What makes people so confident the Dolphins backfield is not a committee? Sigmund Bloom: The Raiders are going to adopt a frustrating Patriots-style committee at running back under Josh McDaniels, which means that Jacobs will be at best Damien Harris in this offense. Overrated Sleepers Running Backs Values Overrated Sleepers The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. The addition of James Conner, plus the knowledge that Kyler Murray could steal goal-line carries, also adds a bit of skepticism. His lack of use as a runner has to be a concern. He has good hands, but his route running hurt his opportunities to make clean catches against man-to-man coverage. The 49ers traded up to draft Trey Sermon, they brought in Wayne Gallman as a free agent, and Jeff Wilson is still around. David Johnson 's fantasy fortunes have been a roller coaster ride over the past three seasons. Color me skeptical Sanders has a new ceiling for receiving production with Scott and Gainwell passing game-centric options, and Howard could be a goal-line option. Sigmund Bloom: There are too many forces that Barkley has to swim upstream again to justify taking Barkley at his lofty ADP. So should drafters trust the first 25 games of his career where he was a compiler with minimal ceiling or the final six games against bad defenses in 2020? Hes the favorite for running back targets, but the offense doesnt really throw to the running backs. Think about that for a moment. Chad Parsons: McKissic is priced reasonably with an implied drop in targets. And ultimately, he was targeted by Miami ahead of an early-round draft pick when he finally hit unrestricted free agency. Sigmund Bloom: Brian Robinson Jr had an excellent preseason debut, while Antonio Gibson fumbled *again*, so this is trending in the wrong direction for Gibson's 2022 redraft value. That looks like a mistake from where the situation sits now. But now in the NFL, he is removed from passing down work in favor of J.D. McKissic. Andy Hicks: D'Andre Swift had a patchy rookie season. That makes me want to be high on Josh Jacobs, but unfortunately, all reports point to a backfield by committee. There are too many risk factors to comfortably draft Ekeler as a No. Now, these guys are treated with all the respect of disposable diapers. The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. Mckissic, and there was talk of rookie Brian Robinson Jr taking on the short yardage work. Williams is extremely talented, but as of now, it looks like this will be a split backfield. 5. It's possible that Las Vegas will lean on Jacobs, knowing he won't be back next year, but that goes against McDaniels' past style of play. Gordon is a massive red flag at his ADP. The 4.29 ADY by the Steelers offensive line would be tied for 8th place in the NFL in 2009. Jeff Haseley: We know what Saquon Barkley is capable of, but we haven't seen him perform much in Jason Garrett's offense under Joe Judge's rule. Green Bay seems to like A.J. Ryan Hester: This isnt a knock on Harris, whose athletic profile and projected workload are things fantasy players dream of. Flick's Package Liquor Inc. PO Box 221 3320 Sterns Rd. Drafting Jacobs around this price is drafting him at his ceiling -- perhaps even above it. A new offensive coordinator in Pittsburgh also adds uncertainty to the situation. His fantasy value was bolstered late in the year due to an insane usage rate in the passing game, seeing a whopping 8.6 targets per game when Alex Smith started. His current draft price is almost his upside. Running back Chris Wells of the Arizona Cardinals was a first-round draft pick, 31st overall, in 2009 who always seemed to be on the injured list year after year. 1 Barry Sanders Barry Sanders is a former American football running back who spent his entire professional career with the Detroit Lions of the National Football League. Projections, Get The Most Out Of Your His ADP says drafters are aware of the easy schedule down the stretch, but he's still being overvalued at his current price. In college, he played wide receiver as much as (if not more than) running back. But regardless of quarterback, Kamara is unlikely to return to his 80 reception ways. Its a knock on his offensive line. John Riggins 19. Etienne's selection early in the late first signals he should have an immediate opportunity, especially with a new coaching staff in place. WHO ARE THE MOST OVERRATED FANTASY FOOTBALL RUNNING BACKS? The coaching staff did not ignore this, as they selected the best pass-catching running back in the fifth round of the NFL Draft in Kenneth Gainwell. I am a heretic in that regard. However, I would ask - where is the upside to tilt a league here? Sigmund Bloom: Not that the Texans offense was anything you wanted to go near in fantasy drafts in the first place, but Johnson's ADP needs to adjust by multiple rounds to the news that he will be sharing the backfield with Phillip Lindsay and Mark Ingram II and no longer in the lead back role. most overrated running backs of all time. In an attempt to point out these players, we asked our staff to look through the Top 150 and identify players that should underperform their draft position. Bettis was nothing more than an average RB for a long period of time (13 years). But I do not believe The Bus should be in the list of the top 40 RBs of all time. Kevin Coleman: Antonio Gibsons value took a hit this offseason. The following represent the most overrated NFL player on each team. During the next few weeks, we here at NFL.com will unveil our Most Underrated and Overrated Players of All Time for all 32 teams and allow users to determine their choices as well.. Ben Cummins: The Raiders offense should be fun this season with the additions of Davante Adams and new head coach, Josh McDaniels. His career YPC was 3.9. Even when Barkley was a big fantasy hit, it took big plays that can be very mercurial from year to year to make it happen. The Ravens view Gus Edwards and Dobbins as co-starters who are both vital cogs, and the front office rewarded Edwards with a new contract supporting his role. This NFL season, which isn't even over yet, 5 running backs have already rushed for more yards and 16 have more touchdowns. Jalen Hurts will inevitably take away carries and goal-line rushes from the backfield, capping any true remaining upside Sanders may have been clinging to. There are no guarantees he fits with what Atlanta wants to do or whether he has the endurance to handle a workload after last year's use. I definitely do not want the most expensive option here (Carter), but Coleman and Johnson are arbitrage plays. J.D. . Jason Wood: We all want Dobbins to be an every-down workhorse. Thats the first thing we notice. Not to mention I expect this offense to throw the ball a lot more than last year due to the addition of Russell Wilson and new Head Coach Nathaniel Hackett. The Raiders declined to exercise Jacobs fifth-year option this offseason, drafted Zamir White in the fourth round, signed Ameer Abdullah and Brandon Bolden, and Kenyan Drake returns from injury. The problem is it never really felt like we stopped moving Edmonds up the board even after the signing of James Conner. We've seen running backs repeatedly return from severe knee injuries; very seldom do they return the following year and have a memorable fantasy season. It appears as if theres a change of guard happening in San Fransisco. In 2012, Adrian Peterson ran for a near record-breaking 2,097 yards.. Lets take a look at the average Jerome Bettis season: 277 carries, 1051 yards, 3.9 YPC, 7 TDs. Additionally, Brandon Bolden -- a member of Josh McDaniels' Patriot teams -- is with the club. Malcolm Brown should play plenty, and this offense isn't likely to be explosive enough to support two running backs in any meaningful way. Lynn will also rely on the hot hand approach - and Swift is more likely to run hot than Williams - but how often will this offense and team play well enough to give Swift a favorable game script. Links to similar discussions on other positions: The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. Gaskin may be the top option for now, but that could change with a strong outing from veteran Malcolm Brown or Salvon Ahmed. Its almost always the other way around for top tier RBs. Pittsburghs front five looks nothing like last years group. There are backs going after Chubb who will receive bigger shares of their teams usage. Austin Ekeler, LA Chargers | Consensus Rankings RB9 | Consensus Projections RB9. Downing, USA Today Sports. James is the more physically gifted player. He also spent his first 5 years on the saints, where he got 20 carries exactly 2 times there. Drew Davenport: The memories of Johnson dominating in Arizona are still following him into this offseason. If Robinson claims goal line work, there is an upward battle for returning a value in his ADP. But when we look closer, The Bus only averages 1,050 rushing yards per year and 7 touchdowns, far from elite stats. Jeff Haseley: The Dolphins have a three-headed approach to the running back position this year. Jeff Haseley: It's easy to succumb to the notion that Saquon Barkley is one of the best running backs in the league. Brown should have a role, most likely on early downs and at the goal-line, which would sink Gaskins chances of living up to his ADP. Tevin Coleman is one of those veteran thorns in the sides of young backs to garner touches. At present, I'm avoiding Gaskin because I do not trust the role, especially ahead of projected starters like Mike Davis and other players with higher upside like Travis Etienne. Myles Gaskin, Miami | Consensus Rankings RB24 | Consensus Projections RB22. His average DVOA of 0.085% would rank him 31st in the NFL in 2009, right behind Rashard Mendenhall. From Weeks 13 through 17, Dobbins received a measly two total targets from quarterback Lamar Jackson. Ben Cummins: Henrys past two monster years were with offensive coordinator Arthur Smith, the head coach in Atlanta. Top 10 Most Overrated NFL Players of All Time. Jordan McNamara: Fixing your running game by drafting running backs is a losing strategy. Single That role may not disappear completely, but the addition of Gio Bernard is a bad sign for Tampa Bay's intentions with Fournette. J.K. McKissic, Washington | Consensus Rankings RB47 | Consensus Projections RB45. The Eagles consistently added to the depth chart this offseason with Kerryon Johnson, Jordan Howard, Kenneth Gainwell added to Boston Scott. The depth behind Ekeler is average, but there are enough players to steal touches. Has no highlight reel. The current regime did not select Robinson. To point out these players, we asked our staff to look through the Top 150 and identify players that should underperform their draft position. Got the exact same number of carries as Williams. Murray scored 11 rushing touchdowns in 9 different games in 2020. In Week 16 of the 2011 season, Adrian Peterson tore his ACL and returned as the #1 overall running back in 2012. Ben Cummins: Im a big fan of Antonio Gibsons talent, but he will have to overcome a lot of hurdles to pay off his current ADP. That is not the stat line of an elite RB at all. While the opportunity is undeniable, it's risky betting on Davis as the answer. Victoria Geary: Sanders has talent and breakaway ability, but he may not garner a large enough workload to be worth his ADP this season. Brown has always been a strong contributor inside the five-yard line scoring 9 rushing touchdowns in the last two years in that hot zone. I feel like most drafting Gordon right now are doing it on name value, but he now has plenty of competition with Javonte Williams and Mike Boone as priority adds this offseason. Gibsons problems with fumbles have been a complaint of Ron Rivera, and he has already shown it is not gone in the preseason. You wrote in to criticize me immediately following a 4-0 win against Forest where, for the first time all season, Moyes bowed to enormous pressure and played a back 4, told Declan to actually be . Projecting a fourth-round pick to take over the backfield would be fine if there was evidence that this was happening. But Gordon averaged more yards per carry last year than Williams. Jordan McNamara: The news on Saquon Barkley does not reassure me. Andy Hicks: If people are using a fourth or fifth-round pick on Myles Gaskin, they will end up disappointed. Henry is one of my favorite players in the league, but there are preferable first-round picks for me in 2021. Even when Barkley was a big fantasy hit, it took big plays that can be very mercurial from year to year to make it happen. Melvin Gordon III, Denver | Consensus Rankings RB29 | Consensus Projections RB28. Brady is known for being the only quarterback in history to win 7 Super Bowls, and is often considered one of the best quarterbacks of all time. And in fact, some managers are drafting him to be in their fantasy starting lineups in Week 1. Bettis was also a nonfactor in the passing game. Johnson is the incumbent with the largest contract, and yet he's being downshifted in favor of Mark Ingram II -- who did his best work in Baltimore, where Texans head coach David Culley comes from -- and Phillip Lindsay. Crimson Tide skill players have been pretty good coming into the NFL recently, and Robinson's early start to camp has been generating buzz. But drafting him as a high-upside No. Every NFL team's most overrated player of all time Jarrett Bailey 12/21/2021 180K donated to doctor who preformed 10-year-old girl's abortion to help with legal costs, security. Worst of all, he is now playing on the Houston Texans, who have no identity on offense heading into the season. Barkley is a workhorse. You are better off investing in a more consistent player for your RB2 when you get to the late second or early third round of drafts. I just see way too much downside to take a risk on lightning striking twice. The Eagles also resigned Jordan Howard and added Kerryon Johnson to the backfield, exhibiting their lack of trust in Sanders as an every-down back. Even if the split is swapped with Williams as the slight 1A to Gordon's now 1B, achieving a top-12 result will hinge on Gordon missing a chunk of the season. Taylor can be a rock-solid option and still be pecked away with Hines and Mack enough to be more in the RB10-15 range. These are players that will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. We use cookies to personalize content, ads and analyze site traffic. It's not entirely his fault. Drew Davenport: Gordon hasn't been a special player for a while now, and at times last year looked completely ineffective. Jason Wood: Sanders is talented, and when healthy, was productive under former head coach Doug Pederson. There is also the slight concern that he will need some ramp-up time to fully be healed from his ACL tear from a season ago. Although the rookie saw an uptick in usage throughout his first season, he managed to eclipse 66% of his teams snaps just once. Swift has already broken the injury seal with a groin issue in camp, and Jamaal Williams has already been spoken of highly as a potential 1A to Swift's No. Jalen Hurts will inevitably take away carries and goal-line rushes from the backfield, capping any true remaining upside Sanders may have been clinging to.
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